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Corona Virus

Interestingly, I saw a thing recently that pointed out that the term "cases" should be taken with a pinch of salt, especially if that is being equated with "positive test".

Putting the argument of "with, not because of" aside for a moment, fatalities are a given number. As are "admitted to ICU". But when we simply state "case" and "dead", we are not being told "hospitalised" or "critical care".

So, knowing some of the characteristics of the Wu-Flu now, how many of those "cases" are simply "tested positive" and have not developed any symptoms at all, or only just been unwell?

And so, why are we all acting scared of the "cases" number?

It would be the same as telling us how many have died of cancer, then tell us how many people have reported having a lump. One does not necessarily lead to the other, and we don't act as if it does. So why are we still stirring the panic?

And while on the topic - are we sure that the basis of the "cases" is not simply "number of positive tests" - note, NOT number tested positive. I know from experience that the test is not done just once even if you do find a positive result - it is repeated. So there could be another inflation of actual numbers being implied here.
I think cases are higher than before, March, due to o much more testing, e.g. blanket testing of students with or without symptoms, found about 80% of those that tested positive, had no symptoms, hence would never have been detected a few weeks ago?
 
Coloured maps such as that in Post #1,874 should be treated with caution. An outbreak at a University(say) campus can skew the figures for a whole area which is otherwise has a quite low infection rate. Also the size of a county or area can either flatter or hide the seriousness of the infection rate.
Statistics as a tool for displaying what is happening should mostly be viewed with a peg on your nose as none of them ever tell the whole story.
 
Agreed! Cinc Nag Home has become a wee bit obsessed with the maps, the numbers and the constant 'pings' from some app or other. Mind you, she is at risk.

This has not been helped by some of the locals saying that KNOWN positive family members have gone into work as they need the cash...... :oops:
 
Coloured maps such as that in Post #1,874 should be treated with caution. An outbreak at a University(say) campus can skew the figures for a whole area which is otherwise has a quite low infection rate. Also the size of a county or area can either flatter or hide the seriousness of the infection rate.
Statistics as a tool for displaying what is happening should mostly be viewed with a peg on your nose as none of them ever tell the whole story.
That is correct. The Isle of Wight has a pretty low infection rate, but it has almost certainly been skewed upwards because of IOW university students at mainland universities. The infection rates, I understand, are worked out on the basis of where people are registered with GPs.
 
No I have no scientific evidence as to why the Virus is rampant, and getting worst, must be the government's problem. @Dredd you been partying?
There you go @fishhead some facts, obviously the middle one at the bottom may be iffy?

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Just been on the news , As of monday we are back in lock down for the whole of November.
Pretty much everything closed apart from shops , schools , chemists and petrol stations.
Travel within Germany very restriced as are social contacts.
 

<...Germany could be removed from the UK’s quarantine-free green list this week following a sharp rise in Covid-19 infections.
The country reported 5,986 new positive tests on Wednesday, well down on the 13,161 seen on Tuesday, but its seven-day infection rate has now reached 99.5 per 100,000 – up from around 50 a week ago.
It is thought that the Government’s new threshold for quarantine restrictions is 100 per 100,000, putting Germany right on the brink ahead of tomorrow’s weekly review of the travel corridors list.
Paul Charles, chief executive of travel consultancy The PC Agency, said the Government is “very likely” to remove Germany on Thursday, adding: “It’s had a very sudden increase. In the last two weeks its infection rate has gone up by nearly 200 per cent...>>

IIRC our forefathers twice learned that (early doors) the Ardennes Route drew little scrutiny.
 

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